Editorial Board   

Mr. Davis

Gavin Davis

Managing Principal, H-Fin Capital Advisors

Mr. Gavin Davis is Managing Principal of H-Fin Capital Advisors, having previously served as Managing Direct or(briefly) with Ackman-Ziff Real Estate Group. Mr. Davis has also previously served as Senior Vice President of Debt & Equity Finance at CB Richard Ellis Hotels Ltd.

Mr. Davis's primary responsibilities include debt and equity financing and restructuring services for clients in the hotel real estate sector. He has completed over $4.0 billion of investment banking, financing and real estate transactions during his career, including senior mortgages, mezzanine mortgages, debt restructuring, strategic asset sales, private equity placement, high yield debt, convertible debt, initial public offerings, follow-on offerings, merger and acquisition advisory and interest rate hedging.

Mr. Davis was also a founder and Principal of Forestpark Capital Advisors, a hospitality specific investment banking company, and a Principal at Neptune Hospitality Advisors. He has completed over 120 hospitality financing and advisory transactions in the past 7 years.

Mr. Davis has held past positions with CIBC World Markets, Prudential Real Estate Investors and Legg Mason Wood. Mr. Davis holds a Bachelor of Science degree from the Cornell University School of Hotel Administration

As part of monitoring the global macro environment and geopolitics in order to provide H-Fin clients with a view into global interest rate markets, as Interest Expense is often the largest expense face by hotel real estate owners, Mr. Davis spends an inordinate amount of time closely monitoring the U.S. Federal Reserve, short term interest rates and risk premia.

Mr. Davis has correctly predicted every single U.S. Federal Reserve Fed Funds decision during the current business cycle, including accurately predicting both the beginning (12 mo in advance) and end of such interest rate cycle (Dec. 2018).

Mr. Davis regularly makes other profound financial insights and prognostications that persons may wish to use in one or more ways to supplement their own interests, now summarized in this weekly newsletter. For example, in 2016, H-Fin make several correct predictions including but not limited to: very early predicting a Donald Trump U.S. presidency before polling or primaries; interest rate market movements; increases in iron ore; Brexit voting outcome; Italian banking sector issues and others. In 2018, H-Fin made several late year calls including Brazilian equity strength, GE equity year-end exit and early 2019 re-entry and otherwise.

Please visit http://www.h-fin.com for more information.

Mr. Davis can be contacted at +1 858-876-4346 or gbd@h-fin.com

Coming up in August 2020...

Food & Beverage: New Technological Innovations

In the past few years, hotel food and beverage departments have experienced significant growth. Managers are realizing just how much revenue potential this sector holds, both in terms of additional revenue and as a means to enhance the guest experience. As a result, substantial investments are being made in F&B operations as a way to satisfy hotel guests but also to keep pace with the competition. Though it has been a trend for many years, the Farm-to-Table movement shows no signs of abating. Hotel chains are abandoning corporate restaurants and are instead partnering with local chefs to create locally-influenced dining options. Local, farm-sourced ingredients paired with specialty beverages or local wine also satisfies the increasing demand from Millennial travelers who are eager to travel sustainably and contribute to a positive impact. A farm-to-table F&B program also helps to support the local economy, which builds community goodwill. Also popular are "Self-Serv" and "Grab & Go" options. These concepts stem from an awareness that a guest's time is limited and if a hotel can supply them with fast, fresh, food and beverage choices, then so much the better for them. Plus, by placing these specialty kiosks in areas that might be traditionally under-utilized (the lobby, for instance), they can become popular destination locations. Of course, there are new technological innovations as well. In-room, on-screen menus allow guests to order from any restaurant on the property, and some hotels are partnering with delivery companies that make it possible for guests to order food from any restaurant in the area. Also, many hotels are implementing in-room, voice-activated devices, so ordering food via an AI-powered assistant will soon become mainstream as well. The August issue of the Hotel Business Review will report on these developments and document what some leading hotels are doing to expand this area of their business.