Strongest Leg of Industry Recovery Yet to Come, Says Analyst
NEW YORK, NY, January 10, 2006. JP Morgan Chase analyst Harry Curtis has offered a highly optimistic appraisal of the lodging industry's near-term prospects.
According to Curtis, the industry has moved into the longest and strongest leg of the lodging up-cycle. Revenue and EBITDA outperformance could last three-five more years and stock outperformance could last another two-three years, Curtis said in a note to investors.
JP Morgan Chase estimates higher than expected RevPAR growth of 9%, compared to other analysts' forecasts of 8%. Through 2007, the firm sees supply growth in most destinations of 1% or less, while room demand grows at 3-4%.